Wednesday, July 21, 2010

7/21/10 Wed. am J&J Profit Up, but Forecast is Cut

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Post No. 543. The following is brought to you by Intellivest Securities Research, Inc. Toward the end of this Blog is a list of the Dow 30 current CEOs, a ranking of the Dow 30 components by market capitalization as of 7/11/10 and an update of the Dow 30 component's SEC filings as of 7/11/10.

A read of Wednesday's issues of Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, New York Times, USA Today, Atlanta Journal Constitution & Daily Report (Georgia) yielded the following stories about Dow Jones Industrial Average 30 component companies and the Dow with stories about the Dow aggregated first and then items about Dow Jones Industrial Average 30 companies presented alphabetically, followed by symbol and Tuesday's stock prices and related data.

Dow: The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Tuesday at 10,229.96 up 75.53 or 0.74% from Monday's close of 10,154.53. For the year the Dow is down 1.90%. Of the 30 Dow Companies: 23 gained and 7 declined. The biggest gainer dollar-wise was Caterpillar CAT $66.43 +1.63 2.52% 9,459,668 NYSE and percentage-wise was Home Depot HD $27.93 +0.86 3.18% 23,253,088 NYSE. The biggest decliner dollar-wise and percentage-wise was IBM $126.55 -3.24 2.5% 16,293,587 NYSE.

WSJ pC5 "IBM, J&J both fall; UAl rises" by Kristina Peterson says quarterly reports from IBM, Texas Inst. & goldman Sachs sent stocks tumbling early on concerns over slowing rev, but a late rally erased the losses as investors looked to Fed. Res. guidance & approaching earnings. IBM is charted under Bad News saying it osted solid results but its full year earnings view was slightly below analysts' estimates. Johnson & Johnson is also charted under Bad news saying it cut its '10 earnings forecast.

WSJ pC1 "Dow shakes off early fall to gain 75.53" by Jonathan Cheng says stocks staged a rally to finish higher for a 2nd consecutive session, shaking off losses as optimism picked up ahead of a fresh wave of bank earnings & possible guidance from the Fed Res. The market stumbled early in the day as disappointing earnings from IBM & Goldman Sachs dented sentiment about the pace of 2Q corp. reports.

NYT pB12 "Wall St. Struggles to end higher" by Christine Hauser says stocks closed a lightly traded session higher Tues despite disappointing earnings from Goldman Sachs and Johnson & Johnson.

Fin Times p22 "Gains for fin'ls & raw materials trigger late surge" by Hannah Kuchler says US stocks rose yesterday as an increase in building permits pushed up raw material producers and home builders and a rebound from fin'l stocks erased earlier falls from poor received earnings.

USA p4B "Fed expectations, housing news lift stocks" by Bloomberg says stocks advanced Tues, erasing earlier losses, as speculation the Fed Res will take steps to spur lending and an increase in building permits sent home builders and commodity producers.

As of the open of the market Wednesday, the current divisor for the Dow Jones Industrial Average found at page C4 of today's Wall St. Journal is 0.132129493 (it changed last Thursday), the trailing P/E ratio is 14.52 up from Tuesday's 14.43 (year ago it was 13.59) the P/E estimate is 12.49 unchanged from Tuesday's 12.49 (year ago it was 13.95) and the current dividend yield is 2.72 down from Tuesday's 2.74 (it was 3.22 a year ago). The Dow's all-time high was 14,164.53 on Oct. 9, 2007. The 12 year low close for the Dow was on March 9, 2009 when it fell to 6,547.05.

Tuesday's Dow Jones Industrial Average closing numerator was 1,360.93 up 18.78 from Monday's closing numerator of 1341.71. This is the sum of all 30 closing prices. A short cut to the Dow numerator is to multiply the closing Dow by the Divisor. Now, if you divide the Dow numerator increase of 18.78 for Tuesday by the divisor (0.132129493) you get the increase in Tuesday's Dow of 75.53. A $1 change in the price of any DJIA stock = a 7.56 change in the average.

The average closing price (the closing numerator divided by 30) of Tuesday's Dow Jones Industrial Average was $45.36 up 0.64 from Monday's Dow Jones Industrial Average average closing price of $44.72. The median closing price of Tuesday's Dow Jones Industrial Average was $40.84 up 0.53 from Monday's median price of $40.31. The lowest volume was 3M MMM $82.19 +0.97 1.19% 3,045,951 NYSE and the highest volume again was Bank of America BAC $13.77 +0.16 1.18% 179,773,170 NYSE.

If Tuesday morning before the market opened you had purchased 100 shares of each of the Dow Jones Industrial Average 30 shares (assuming you could buy fractional shares and assuming no transaction costs) and sold at the close you would have made $1,933 ($136,093 - 134,160).

MarketWatch 7/20/10 Tues. 4:13 pm by Laura Mandaro says U.S. stocks closed with healthy gains, led by rebounding metals and energy stocks, as the major indexes came back from an early thrashing on earnings disappointments. The Dow Jones Industrials Average closed up 75.53 points, or 0.7%, to 10,229.96, rebounding from a triple-digit loss intraday. The S&P 500 (SPX 1,083, +12.23, +1.14%) closed up 12.23 points, or 1.1%, at 1,083.48, led by 2.9% gain in material stocks including a 8.2% surge in Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (CLF 50.30, -0.03, -0.06%) and a 7.5% gain in shares of U.S. Steel Corp. (X 44.60, +0.31, +0.70%) The Nasdaq Composite (COMP 2,222, +24.26, +1.10%) closed up 24.26 points, or 1.1%, to 2,222.49 points.

At&t T $24.79 _0.09 0.36% 24,013,472 NYSE: No mentions found.

Alcoa AA $10.85 +0.27 2.55% 28,937,248 NYSE: No mentions found.

Amex AXP $42.06 +0.48 1.15% 7,570,438 NYSE: No mentions found.

Bank of America BAC $13.77 +0.16 1.18% 179,773,170 NYSE: WSJ pC15 "Promising Secotr: Banks" by Daisy Maxey now may be the time to invest in US banking sector event hough 2Q earnings reports from banks ahven't been stellar. Bank of America, the biggest US bank by assets, reported weak 2Q earnings last week. JPMorgan is expected to have good credit improvement over the next year per the lead manager of the John Hancock Regional Bank Fund, Lisa Welch.

Boeing BA $63.88 +0.70 1.11% 5,066,012 NYSE: Fin Times p16 "Boeing chief backs open US defence market" by Pilita Clark says at Farnborough Boeing's CEO James McNerney disputes that he was arguing for protectionism for US firms.

WSJ pB1 "Int'l call to bu arms" by Nathan Hodge says for the past decade US defense firms have gown as Pentagon budged doubled to $700 bil a year. With a downturn, the firms are looking to foreign customers. Boeing is expanding its int'l military sales to 25% of its defense rev over the next 5 years up from 16% or around $5.4 bil. Already India's may pay $5.8 bil for Boeing cargo planes and Taiwan's is buying $3.1 bil worth of Black Hawk helicopters from United Tech.

WSJ pB3 "Boeing, Airbus pick up more plane orders at Air Show" says Beoing will sell 60 737-800 planes to Air Lease Corp.

Caterpillar CAT $66.43 +1.63 2.52% 9,459,668 NYSE: No mentions found.

Chevron CVX
$73.1 +1.10 1.53% 8,913,255 NYSE: WSJ pA6 "Exodus of rigs hasn't happened" by Angel Gonzalez says Chevron and Roayl Dutch Sehll see the Gulf's rich deepwater reservoirs as cirtical to their growthplans.

CSCO $23.05 +0.32 1.41% 66,112,935 NASDAQ-GS: No mentions found.

Coke KO $53.24 +0.97 1.86% 9,707,223 NYSE: WSJ pB1 "Coke gains on Pepsi in Pakistan" by Tom Wright says Coke said it plans to invest $300 mil in its Pakiston plant.

Disney DIS $33.4 +0.09 0.27% 11,629,804 NYSE: NYT pB1 "Eyewear, with a bit of Disney and a touch of apple" by Stephanie Clifford says Luxottica, a big eyewear company that owns Sunglass Hut and Lenscrafters is experimenting witha concept store that draws a bit from Apple and Disneyland.

DuPont DD $36.81 +0.76 2.11% 6,219,109 NYSE: No mentions found.

Exxon XOM $58.95 +0.52 0.89% 23,799,219 NYSE: No mentions found.

GE $14.94 +0.32 2.19% 67,096,580 NYSE: No mentions found.

Hewlett-Packard HPQ $46.61 -0.07 0.15% 15,878,658 NYSE: No mentions found.

Home Depot HD $27.93 +0.86 3.18% 23,253,088 NYSE: No mentions found.

Intel INTC $21.65 +0.06 0.28% 72,306,906 NASDAQ-GS: No mentions found.

IBM $126.55 -3.24 2.5% 16,293,587 NYSE: WSJ pB2 "Sizing up IBM race" by Spencer Ante says IBM has put 4 senior manages into a horse race to succeed CEO Samuel J. Palmisano: Michael Daniels, Virginia Rometty, Mark Loughridge & Steven A. Mills.

WSJ pC5 "IBM, J&J both fall; UAl rises" by Kristina Peterson says quarterly reports from IBM, Texas Inst. & goldman Sachs sent stocks tumbling early on concerns over slowing rev, but a late rally erased the losses as investors looked to Fed. Res. guidance & approaching earnings. IBM is charted under Bad News saying it osted solid results but its full year earnings view was slightly below analysts' estimates. Johnson & Johnson is also charted under Bad news saying it cut its '10 earnings forecast.

WSJ pC1 "Dow shakes off early fall to gain 75.53" by Jonathan Cheng says stocks staged a rally to finish higher for a 2nd consecutive session, shaking off losses as optimism picked up ahead of a fresh wave of bank earnings & possible guidance from the Fed Res. The market stumbled early in the day as disappointing earnings from IBM & Goldman Sachs dented sentiment about the pace of 2Q corp. reports.

JPMorgan JPM $39.63 +0.59 1.51% 43,507,091 NYSE: WSJ pC6 "CMBS market rises from ashes of collapse" by Lingling Wei says banking including JPMorgan are expected to launch soon 2 offerings of commercial mortgage backed securities totaling $1.4 bil. JPMorgan is leading a $650 mil offering backed by properties owned by reit Vornado Realty Trust.

WSJ pC15 "Promising Secotr: Banks" by Daisy Maxey now may be the time to invest in US banking sector event hough 2Q earnings reports from banks ahven't been stellar. Bank of America, the biggest US bank by assets, reported weak 2Q earnings last week. JPMorgan is expected to have good credit improvement over the next year per the lead manager of the John Hancock Regional Bank Fund, Lisa Welch.

Johnson & Johnson JNJ $58.58 -0.99 1.66% 19,819,303 NYSE: WSJ pB4 "JNJ's Profit Rises" by Peter Loftus, NYT pB10 J&J Profit up, but forecast is cut" by AP say Johnson & Johnson's 2Q profit rose 75% but it lowered its forecast of full year earnings due to its recalls of otc medicines and increased pressure on prescription drug prices in Europe. Its net income rose to $3.45 bil or $1.23 a share, from $3.21 bil or $1.15 a share. JNJ in a rare ove, reduced its '10 profit forecast by 1 cents a share citing the recalls of millions of bottles of Tylenol and other brands, long term closure of the suburban Phil factory that made Johnson & Johnson in its early years and unfavorable currency exchange rates.

WSJ pC5 "IBM, J&J both fall; UAl rises" by Kristina Peterson says quarterly reports from IBM, Texas Inst. & goldman Sachs sent stocks tumbling early on concerns over slowing rev, but a late rally erased the losses as investors looked to Fed. Res. guidance & approaching earnings. IBM is charted under Bad News saying it osted solid results but its full year earnings view was slightly below analysts' estimates. Johnson & Johnson is also charted under Bad news saying it cut its '10 earnings forecast.

NYT pB12 "Wall St. Struggles to end higher" by Christine Hauser says stocks closed a lightly traded session higher Tues despite disappointing earnings from Goldman Sachs and Johnson & Johnson.

KFT $29.21 +0.38 1.32% 8,828,198 NYSE: No mentions found.

McDonalds MCD $70.87 +0.96 1.37% 5,472,442 NYSE: No mentions found.

MRK $35.66 -0.14 0.39% 14,004,740 NYSE: No mentions found.

MSFT $25.48 +0.25 0.99% 45,473,397 NASDAQ-GS: WSJ pB5 "Microsoft reveals cost to connect with Kinect" says Microsoft said it will charge $149.99 for the Inect controller.

Pfizer PFE $14.55 -0.18 1.22% 44,556,898 NYSE: No mentions found.

Procter PG $62.07 +0.21 0.34% 10,926,662 NYSE: No mentions found.

3M MMM $82.19 +0.97 1.19% 3,045,951 NYSE: No mentions found.

Travelers TRV $50.35 +0.64 1.29% 3,800,808 NYSE: No mentions found.

United Tech UTX $67.54 +1.15 1.73% 5,244,580 NYSE: WSJ pB1 "Int'l call to bu arms" by Nathan Hodge says for the past decade US defense firms have gown as Pentagon budged doubled to $700 bil a year. With a downturn, the firms are looking to foreign customers. Boeing is expanding its int'l military sales to 25% of its defense rev over the next 5 years up from 16% or around $5.4 bil. Already India's may pay $5.8 bil for Boeing cargo planes and Taiwan's is buying $3.1 bil worth of Black Hawk helicopters from United Tech.

Verizon VZ $26.67 +0.05 0.19% 18,611,584 Dual Listed: No mentions found.

Walmart WMT $50.88 +1.36 2.75% 16,279,933 NYSE: WSJ pB1 Walmart is sued over care" by Miguel Bustillo says a class action lawsuit in Col accuses Walmart of conspriring to limit medical care for injured employees to save money.

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Here are the current CEOs of the Dow 30 Companies:

AT&T T Randall L. Stephenson
Alcoa AA Klaus Kleinfeld
American Express AXP Kenneth I. Chenault
Bank of America BAC Brian T. Moynihan
Boeing BA W. James McNerney, Jr.
Caterpillar CAT Douglas Oberhelman
Chevron CVX John Watson
Cisco CSCO John Chambers
Coca Cola KO Muhtar Kent
Disney DIS Robert Iger
DuPont DD Ellen Kullman
ExxonMobil XOM Rex W. Tillerson
GE Jeffrey R. Immelt
Hewlett-Packard HPQ Mark Hurd
Home Depot HD Frank Blake
Intel INTC Paul S. Otellini
IBM Samuel J. Palmisano
JPMorgan Chase JPM Jamie Dimon
Johnson & Johnson JNJ William C. Weldon
Kraft KFT Irene Rosenfeld
McDonald's MCD Jim Skinner
Merck MRK Richard Clark
Microsoft MSFT Steve Ballmer
Pfizer PFE Jeffrey Kindler
Procter & Gamble PG Bob McDonald
3M MMM George W. Buckley
Travelers TRV Jay S. Fishman
United Technologies UTX Louis Chenevert
Verizon VZ Ivan Seidenberg
Wal-Mart WMT Mike Duke

Here are the Dow Jones Industrial Average 30 ranked in order of market capitalization rounded to the nearest 1/2 billion as of 7/11/10 followed by number of shares outstanding rounded to the nearest 1/2 billion:

1. Exxon Mobil XOM $276 [4.5]
2. Procter & Gamble PG 247.5 [4]
3. Microsoft MSFT 212.5 [9]
4. WalMart WMT 183.5 [4]
5. Johnson & Johnson JNJ 167 [3]
6. IBM 164 [1]
7. GE 159.5 [10.5]
8. JPMorgan Chase 154.5 [4]
9. Bank of America BAC 151.5 [10]
10. AT&T 147 [6]
11. Chevron CVX 144 [2]
12. Cisco CSCO 129.5 [6]
13. Coke KO 121 [2.5]
14. Pfizer PFE 119 [8]
15. Merck MRK 113 [3]
16. Intel INTC 112.5 [5.5]
17. Hewlett-Packard HPQ 105.5 [2.5]
18. Verizon VZ 75.5 [3]
19. McDonald's MCD 74.5 [1]
20. Disney DIS 66 [2]
21. United Technologies UTX 63 [1]
22. 3M MMM 58.5 [1]
23. American Express AXP 51 [1]
24. Kraft KFT 50.5 [2]
25. Boeing BA 49 [1]
26. Home Depot 47.5 [1.5]
27. Caterpillar CAT 40.5 [.5]
28. DuPont DD 33.5 [1]
29. Travelers 25.5 [.5]
30. Alcoa AA 11 [1]

Here are the latest SEC filings as of 7/11/10 other than ownership filings, registration of shares for employee benefit plans, free writing prospectuses and third party shareholder proposals:

Symbol & Co. Name/Date of Filing/Form Filed/ Comments

AT&T T: 6/25/10 8K: re: amendments to employee compensation plans.

5/24/10 8K: re: sale of its Sterling Commerce subsidiary to IBM for $1.4 billion in cash.

5/6/10 10-Q

5/4/10 8K re: results from the annual meeting of the stockholders of AT&T Inc. held on April 30, 2010, in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

Alcoa AA: 5/4/10 8K re: Alcoa Inc.’s 2009 Sustainability Highlights Report.

American Express AXP: 6/15/10 8K re: delinquency statistics through 5/31/10.

6/2/10 8K re: statistics re: worldwide billed business.

5/17/10 8K re: delinquency and write-off statistics for the lending portfolio of its U.S. Card Services operating segment for the months ended February 28, March 31 and April 30, 2010.

5/5/10 10Q

Bank of Am BAC: 7/9/10 Free Writings Prospectuses

6/4/10 Free Writing Prospectuses

5/10/10 Rule 424(b) Prospectus

5/7/10 10-Q

Boeing BA: 6/10/10 8K re: election of Edward M. Liddy to Board of Dirs. & Audit & Fin. Committees. By-laws were amended to increase number of directors from 12 to 13.

4/28/10 8-K re: results of its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on April 26, 2010

Caterpiller CAT: 6/18/10 8K re: dealer statistics.

6/17/10 8K re: plans to produce a full range of mining shovels and increase dump truck production.

6/11/10 8K re: as previously announced, Board elected Douglas R. Oberhelman as CEO effective 8/1/10.

6/11/10 8K re: results of 6/9 annual meeting of shareholders.

6/1/10 8K re: purchase of Electro-Motive Diesel, Inc. for $820 million in cash from Berkshire Partners LLC and Greenbriar Equity Group LLC.

5/28/10 8K re: retirement of David B. Burritt, VP & CFO as of 6/1/10.

5/20/10 8K re: statistics re: deliveries to users for its Machinery and Engines lines of business.

5/10/10 Definitive Proxy materials

5/510 8-K re: departure of directors and officers

5/3/10 10Q

Chevron CVX: 6/2/10 8K re: results of 5/26/10 vote at annual meeting for election of Directors & other matters.

5/19/10 definitive proxy materials

5/13/10 8K re: certain revisions of 10-K annual report for year ended 12/31/09.

Disney DIS 10Q for quarter ended 4/3/10

DuPont DD: 4/29/10 8K re: voting results from annual meeting held on 4/28/10.

4/27/10 10Q

ExxonMobil XOM: 6/25/10 8K re: completion of its acquisition of XTO Energy Inc.

6/1/10 8K re: voting results from 5/26/10 Annual Meeting of Shareholders

5/6/10 10Q

GE: 6/11/10 8K re; election of James S. Tisch to Board of Directors. He is Pres. & CEO of Loew's.

5/7/10 8K to update fin'l info from form 10K

5/7/10 10Q

Hewlett-Packard HPQ: 6/1/10 10Q

6/1/10 8K re: plans to invest $1 billion in its enterprise services business to enhance client experience and better position the business for growth.

5/18/10 8K re: 2Qtr results

Home Depot HD: 6/3/10 10Q

5/25/10 8K re: voting results from 5/20/10 annual meeting of shareholders.

5/18/10 8K re: results for quarter ended 5/2/10

Intel INTC: 6/22/10 8K re: agreed upon suspension of FTC admin. proceedings while settlement discussions are held.

5/21/10 8K re: voting results from 5/19/10 annual meeting of stockholders.

5/12/10 8K re: info provided at an Investor meeting by Paul S. Otellini, Pres. & CEO.

5/7/10 8K re: Micron Technology, Inc. completed its acquisition of Numonyx Holdings BV & issued shares of common stock to Numonyx shareholders.

5/3/10 10QJPMorganChase JPM: 6/24/10 8K re: closing of sale of $1.25 bil of 3.40% Notes due '15.

6/24/10 8K re: election of Douglas L. Braunstein as CFO.

5/26/10 8K re: Washington Mutual Litigations.

5/20/10 8K re: voting results from 5/18/10 annual meeting of shareholders

5/10/10 10Q

Johnson & Johnson JNJ : /10/10 10 Q

Kraft KFT: 5/21/10 8K: re voting

IBM: 5/12/10 8K re: information presented at Investor Briefing on 5/12/10.

4/29/10 8K re: voting results from annual meeting of stockholders on 4/27/10

4/27/10 10Q

results from 5/18/10 annual meeting of shareholders

5/7/10 10Q

McDonalds MCD: 6/9/10 8K re: year to date sales figures

5/24/10 8K re: voting results of 5/20/10 annual shareholders' meeting

5/17/10 additional proxy materials

5/11/10 8K re: press release re: April and year to date '10 sales.

5/6/10 10Q

Merck MRK: 7/8/10 8K re: global restructuring program in conjunction with the integration of the Schering-Plough acquisition; reduction of work force by 15% & closing of plants and research sites.

5/28/10 8K re: Kenneth C. Frazier to succeed Richard T. Clark as Pres. Of the Company as of 5/1/10 and Dr. Sam Their's retirement from the Board & voting results from 5/25/10 annual meeting of shareholders.

5/11/10 8K re: information presented at 5/11/10 Annual Business Briefing

5/7/10 10Q

Microsoft MSFT: 6/18/10 8K re: sale of $1.25 bil of Zero Coupon Convertible Sr. Notes due '13 (and related 6/9 8K).

5/28/10 8K re: retirement of Robbie Bach, pres. Of Entertainment & Devices Div.

Pfizer PFE: 5/26/10 8K re: retirement of Dr. Martin Mackay, Sr. VP & Pres, Pharma Therapeutics R&D of Pfizer Inc.

5/13/10 10Q

5/4/10 8K re: 1Qtr results

4/28/10 8K re: voting results of Pfizer's annual meeting of shareholders held on 4/22/10

Procter & Gamble PG: 5/19/10 8K re: closing of 100 bil Euro 0.955 Note Offering due 2015.

4/30/10 10Q

3M MMM: 6/28/10 8K re: projected sales range for 2Q '10.

5/17/10 8K re: reclassification of certain data in 10K for 12/31/09.

5/12/10 8K re: voting results of 5/11/10 annual meeting of stockholders.

5/5/10 10Q

Travelers TRV: 6/15/10 8K re: $1 bil 3 year revolving credit agreement.

5/7/10 8K re: voting results of 5/4/10 annual meeting of shareholders

4/23/10 10Q

United Technologies UTX: 5/14/10 8K re: exercise of its rights to redeem $500 mil of outstanding 7.125% Notes due 11/15/10.

4/26/10 10Q

Verizon Communications Inc. VZ: 7/1/10 8K re: completion of acquisition of Frontier Communications Corp. and spin off of shares to VZ shareholders.

6/11/10 8K re: agreement with certain unions.

5/27/10 8K re: record date of 6/7/10 re: proposed spin off of shares of New Communications Holdings.

5/12/10 8K re: voting results from 5/6/10 annual meeting of shareholders.

4/28/10 10Q

WalMart WMT: 7/7/10 8K re: underwriting to the public of several series of notes.

7/2/10 8K re: departure of John E. Fleming EVP & Chief Merchandizing Officer effective 8/1/10.

6/29/10 8K re: appointment of Eduwardo Castro-Wright as CEO fo global.com & William S. Simon as CEO of Walmart U.S.

6/9/10 8K re: results of 6/4 annual meeting of shareholders.

6/14/10 10Q.

5/18/10 8K reconciliation of non-GAP measures.